Wells Fargo and Chase Quietly Prepare to Take Over BOA and Citi as They Collapse

Major banks [WELLS AND CITI] have reportedly made proposals to the Fed on how to pay for the restructuring of large financial institutions that collapse, with the idea being to avoid the chaos that followed Lehman’s bankruptcy. Among the suggestions, the largest financial-services holding companies would maintain combined debt and equity equal to 14% of their risk-weighted assets, which would be used to support any failed bank unit seized by regulators. Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1100632?source=ipadportfolioapp

Editor’s Analysis: This is why I keep insisting on following the money trail rather than the paper trail. The paper trail is full of lies. The money trail cannot be faked. Or to put it more succinctly anyone who tries to fake the money trail will probably end up in jail. Checks, wire transfers, ACH transfers leave footprints throughout the electronic funds transfer infrastructure.  In the paper trail there are documents that describe transactions as if they had occurred. It is the money trail that will tell you whether or not any transaction in fact did occur and if so,  when and under what terms.

PRACTICE HINT:  the money trail (Canceled checks, wire transfer receipts) is the main point. The paper trail should only be used to corroborate your allegations concerning the reality of the transactions after you have shown that the money trail reveals an entirely different story —  or that the banks are stonewalling access to the money trail because it will prove beyond a reasonable doubt that everything they have said in the creation of the mortgage, transfers of the mortgage, defaults and the mortgage, foreclosures, auction sales, credit bids and attempts for modification is a complete lie.

Bank of America has approximately $300 billion on its balance sheet which are composed mainly of mortgage bonds (unsupported by any transaction in which money exchanged hands or any other consideration; and not backed by any loans which never made it into the asset pools that issued the mortgage bonds). It is one thing when people like me saying that the bonds are worthless and that Bank of America is broke. It is quite another when investors and traders arrive at the same conclusion. Recent trading activity indicates that a number of investors and traders are betting that Bank of America will collapse. They have arrived at the conclusion that the mortgage bonds are either worthless or not worth anything near what is reported by Bank of America. As rates go up the treasury bonds bought by Bank of America in exchange for free money at the Federal Reserve window, will drop like stones. This will leave Bank of America with insufficient capital to operate at its current levels.

What is interesting is that two banks submitted a proposal for resolution of a bank that had been too big to fail. The two banks that submitted the proposal were Wells Fargo and Chase. Notably absent was Bank of America and Citibank. I take that to mean that the government and the financial community are expecting Bank of America and possibly Citibank to collapse and that it might be very soon. The timing of the Wells Fargo and Chase proposal might well be their assessment that the time is near and that if their proposal is the only one on the table it will be the one that is used by the government.

FALLING BOND PRICES AND RISING YIELDS ARE THREATENING THE RECOVERY IN THE BALANCE SHEETS OF GLOBAL BANKS: Falling bond prices and rising yields are threatening the recovery in the balance sheets of global banks, which have built up huge portfolios of liquid securities to comply with regulatory requirements and due to a lack of better investments. For example, 90% of Bank of America’s (BAC) $315B portfolio comprises mortgage bonds and Treasurys. Some analysts, though, believe that QE tapering should increase interest margins and offset the one-time hit to book values because of rising bond yields. Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1105882?source=ipadportfolioapp

THE FUTILITY OF OF BANKS FIGHTING REPRESENTATION AND WARRANTIES LAWSUITS OVER MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES: Flagstar Bancorp’s (FBC +2.7%) weekend settlement with Assured Guaranty (AGO -3.3%) for $105M (vs. the $106.5M court verdict) shows the futility of banks fighting representation and warranties lawsuits over MBS, writes Mark Palmer. Next up is BofA (BAC) which has already settled with Assured and MBIA (MBI), but is still tussling with Ambac (AMBC). Credit Suisse (CS) and JPMorgan (JPM) have also been reluctant to settle with the monolines. Flagstar is sharply higher in a bright red market as the settlement removes a big overhang on the stock. Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1101932?source=ipadportfolioapp

[Editor: If the loans were real and the bonds were real, why would this be necessary?) BOA Caught Gesturing to Witness Coaching Answers: Bank of America’s (BAC) Article 77 hearing is on hiatus until July 8 to allow the presiding judge time on other cases. Day 8 of the hearing was an uneventful one, reports Mark Palmer, notable mostly for the judge admonishing an attorney representing the supporters to quit coaching (through gestures) a witness on the stand. Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1087682?source=ipadportfolioapp

One way to profit from the false values of loans and the false representations of ownership is to buy them up as though they were real. The buyers have real bargaining power with the mere threat of revealing the bonds to be worthless and the ownership unknown. [I propose to put together a fund that offers the payment if ownership can be proven beyond a reasonable doubt]: Deutsche Bank (DB) is leading a wave of big banks ramping up exposure to single-family housing by extending credit to Wall Street firms so they can buy up homes to turn them into rentals. The bank reportedly just lent another $1.5B to Blackstone (BX) after an earlier $2.1B line got used up. Wayne Hughes’ American Homes 4 Rent has as much as a $1B line from Wells Fargo (WFC), and SilverBay Realty (SBY) just inked a $200M facility from Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan (JPM) Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1087962?source=ipadportfolioapp

Traders betting big on BOA collapse: The purchase of 50K January $11 puts on Bank of America (BAC) yesterday was indeed a the initiation of a position, writes Steven Sears, noting this morning’s open interest shows a 50K rise to 116,958 contracts. Rather than an outright bearish position, the purchase could just as easily be a BofA long hedging his/her bet (though the recent uptick in volatility has made this a more expensive move).
Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/1111972?source=ipadportfolioapp

JPMorgan Looks Like A Winner to Traders — probably because the U.S. government will look to Chase and Wells Fargo when BOA and Citi collapse: Full Story: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1526362?source=ipadportfolioapp

BOND MARKET LIQUIDATION: Bond Funds Hit With Biggest Outflows Ever This Week

[Editor: When mortgage rates rise the price of older bonds with lower interest falls. Most people agree rate increases are inevitable which means that the value of Treasuries and other bonds offering tiny returns are going to fall like stones. The ripple effect is going to be on going for years] Mortgage rates jump to highest in 2 years [Some novices are trying to make the case that if rates double bond prices will fall by half. That is not true and never has been true. Despite the value of the bond on the market the face value remains the same so the GAIN between the purchase price and the Face Amount (Principal) of the Bond must be factored in by using the present value of the that gain over the remaining term of the loan]

[Editor: This is a disaster waiting to happen for the banks. When those modifications are done they will face trillions in liability for insurance and credit default swap proceeds and probably claims from the Federal Reserve because the true value of the bonds will be marked down to market contrary to the representations of the banks when they sell the bonds to the FED] Regulations are now in effect that will prohibit Mass. foreclosures if loan modifications cost less

Foreclosure documentation issues trap investors, creating litigation risk

Must See Video: Arizona Homeowners Losing their Homes to Foreclosure Through Forged Documents

Lawsuit: Bank of America Gave Employees Gift Cards for Hitting Foreclosure Quotas

[Editor: This is BOA putting distance between itself and policies and procedures that produce an illegal result] Bank of America Said to Send Property Reviews to India

[Editor: I doubt if this tactic applies to most people] Illinois Attorney Saves Homes from Foreclosure Using Reverse Mortgages


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