How Wall Street Perverted the 4 Cs of Mortgage Underwriting

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Editor’s Comment: 

For thousands of years since the dawn of money credit has been an integral part of the equation.  Anytime a person, company or institution takes your money or valuables in exchange for a promise that it will return your money or property or pay it to someone else (like in a check) credit is involved.  Most bank customers do not realize that they are creditors of the bank in which they deposit their money.  But all of them recognize that on some level they need to know or believe that the bank will be able to make good on its promise to honor the check or pay the money as instructed. 

Most people who use banks to hold their money do so in the belief that the bank has a history of being financially stable and always honoring withdrawals.  Some depositors may look a little further to see what the balance sheet of the bank looks like.   Of course the first thing they look at is the amount of cash shown on the balance sheet so that a perspective depositor can make an intelligent decision about the liquidity or availability of the funds they deposit. 

So the depositor is in essence lending money to the bank upon the assumption of repayment based upon the operating history of the bank, the cash in the bank and any other collateral (like FDIC guarantees).

As it turns out these are the 4 Cs of loan underwriting which has been followed since the first person was given money to hold and issued a paper certificate in exchange. The paper certificate was intended to be used as either a negotiable instrument for payment in a far away land or for withdrawal when directly presented to the person who took the money and issued the promise on paper to return it.

Eventually some people developed good reputations for safe keeping the money.  Those that developed good reputations were allowed by the depositors to keep the money for longer and longer periods.  After a while, the persons holding the money (now called banks) realized that in addition to charging a fee to the depositor they could use the depositor’s money to lend out to other people.  The good banks correctly calculated the probable amount of time for the original depositor to ask for his money back and adjusted loan terms to third parties that would be due before the depositor demanded his money.

The banks adopted the exact same strategy as the depositors.  The 4 Cs of underwriting a loan—Capacity, Credit, Cash and Collateral—are the keystones of conventional loan underwriting. 

The capacity of a borrower is determined by their ability to repay the debt without reference to any other source or collateral.  For the most part, banks successfully followed this model until the late 1990s when they discovered that losing money could be more profitable than making money.  In order to lose money they obviously had to invert the ratios they used to determine the capacity of the borrower to repay the money.  To accomplish this, they needed to trick or deceive the borrower into believing that he was getting a loan that he could repay, when in fact the bank knew that he could not repay it.  To create maximum confusion for borrowers the number of home loan products grew from a total of 5 different types of loans in 1974 to a total of 456 types of loans in 2006.  Thus the bank was assured that a loss could be claimed on the loan and that the borrower would be too confused to understand how the loss had occurred.  As it turned out the regulators had the same problem as the borrowers and completely missed the obscure way in which the banks sought to declare losses on residential loans.

Like the depositor who is trusting the bank based upon its operating history, the bank normally places its trust in the borrower to repay the loan based upon the borrowers operating history which is commonly referred to as their credit worthiness, credit score or credit history.  Like the capacity of the borrower this model was used effectively until the late 1990s when it too was inverted.  The banks discovered that a higher risk of non-payment was directly related to the “reasonableness” of charging a much higher interest rate than prevailing rates.  This created profits, fees and premiums of previously unimaginable proportions.  The bank’s depositors were expecting a very low rate of interest in exchange for what appeared as a very low risk of nonpayment from the bank.  By lending the depositor’s money to high risk borrowers whose interest rate was often expressed in multiples of the rate paid to depositors, the banks realized they could loan much less in principal than the amount given to them by the depositor leaving an enormous profit for the bank.  The only way the bank could lose money under this scenario would be if the loan was actually repaid.  Since some loans would be repaid, the banks instituted a power in the master servicer to declare a pool of loans to be in default even if many of the individual loans were not in default.  This declaration of default was passed along to investors (depositors) and borrowers alike where eventually both would in many, if not most cases, perceive the investment as a total loss without any knowledge that the banks had succeeded in grabbing “profits” that were illegal and improper regardless if one referred to common law or statutory law.

Capacity and credit are usually intertwined with the actual or stated income of the borrower.  Most borrowers and unfortunately most attorneys are under the mistaken belief that an inflated income shown on the application for the loan, subjects the borrower to potential liability for fraud.  In fact, the reverse is true.  Because of the complexity of real estate transactions, a history of common law dating back hundreds of years together with modern statutory law, requires the lender to perform due diligence in verifying the ability of the borrower to repay the loan and in assessing the viability of the loan.  Some loans had a teaser rate of a few hundred dollars per month.  The bank had full knowledge that the amount of the monthly payment would change to an amount exceeding the gross income of the borrower.   In actuality the loan had a lifespan that could only be computed by reference to the date of closing and the date that payments reset.  The illusion of a 30-year loan along with empty promises of refinancing in a market that would always increase in value, led borrowers to accept prices that were at times a multiple of the value of the property or the value of the loan.  Banks have at their fingertips numerous websites in which they can confirm the likelihood of a perspective borrower to repay the loan simply by knowing the borrower’s occupation and geographical location.  Instead, they allowed mortgage brokers to insert absurd income amounts in occupations which never generate those levels of income.  In fact, we have seen acceptance and funding of loans based upon projected income from investments that had not yet occurred where the perspective investment was part of a scam in which the mortgage broker was intimately involved.  See Merendon Mining scandal.

The Cash component of the 4 Cs.  Either you have cash or you don’t have cash.  If you don’t have cash, it’s highly unlikely that anyone would consider a substantial loan much less a deposit into a bank that was obviously about to go out of business.   This rule again was followed for centuries until the 1990s when the banks replaced the requirement of cash from the borrower with a second loan or even a third loan in order to “seal the deal”.  In short, the cash requirement was similarily inverted from past practices.  The parties involved at the closing table were all strawmen performing fees for service.  The borrower believed that a loan underwriting was taking place wherein a party was named on the note as the lender and also named in the security instrument as the secured party. The borrower believed that the closing could never have occurred but for the finding by the “underwriting lender” that the loan was proper and viable.  The people at the closing table other than the borrower, all knew that the loan was neither proper nor viable.  In many cases the borrower had just enough cash to move into a new house and perhaps purchase some window treatments.  Since the same credit game was being played at furniture stores and on credit cards, more money was given to the borrower to create fictitious transactions in which furniture, appliances, and home improvements were made at the encouragement of retailers and loan brokers.  Hence the cash requirement was also inverted from a positive to a negative with full knowledge by the alleged bank who didn’t bother to pass this knowledge on to its “depositors” (actually, investors in bogus mortgage bonds). 

Collateral is the last of the 4 Cs in conventional loan underwriting.  Collateral is used in the event that the party responsible for repayment fails to make the repayment and is unable to cure it or work out the difference with the bank.  In the case of depositors, the collateral is often viewed as the full faith and credit of the United States government as expressed by the bank’s membership in the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).  For borrowers collateral refers to property which they pledge can be used or sold to satisfy obligation to repay the loan.  Normally banks send one or even two or three appraisers to visit real estate which is intended to be used as collateral.  The standard practice lenders used was to apply the lower appraisals as the basis for the maximum amount that they would lend.  The banks understood that the higher appraisals represented a higher risk that they would lose money in the event that the borrower failed to repay the loan and property values declined.  This principal was also used for hundreds of years until the 1990s when the banks, operating under the new business model described above, started to run out of people who could serve as borrowers.  Since the deposits (purchases of mortgage bonds) were pouring in, the banks either had to return the deposits or use a portion of the deposits to fund mortgages regardless of the quality of the mortgage, the cash, the collateral, the capacity or any other indicator that a normal reasonable business person would use.  The solution was to inflate the appraisals of the real estate by presenting appraisers with “an offer they couldn’t refuse”.  Either the appraiser came in with an appraisal of the real property at least $20,000 above the price being used in the contract or the appraiser would never work again.  By inflating the appraisals the banks were able to move more money and of course “earn” more fees and profits. 

The appraisals were the weakest link in the false scheme of securitization launched by the banks and still barely understood by regulators.  As the number of potential borrowers dwindled and even with the help of developers raising their prices by as much as 20% per month the appearance of a rising market collapsed in the absence of any more buyers.

Since all the banks involved were holding an Ace High Straight Flush, they were able to place bets using insurance, credit default swaps and other credit enhancements wherein a movement of as little as 8% in the value of a pool would result in the collapse of the entire pool.  This created the appearance of losses to the banks which they falsely presented to the U.S. government as a threat to the financial system and the financial security of the United States.  Having succeeded in terrorizing the executive and legislative branches and the Federal Reserve system, the banks realized that they still had a new revenue generator.  By manufacturing additional losses the government or the Federal Reserve would fund those losses under the mistaken belief that the losses were real and that the country’s future was at stake.  In fact, the country’s future is now at stake because of the perversion of the basic rules of commerce and lending stated above.  The assumption that the economy or the housing market can recover without undoing the fraud perpetrated by the banks is dangerous and false.  It is dangerous because more than 17 trillion dollars in “relief” to the banks has been provided to cover mortgage defaults which are at most estimated at 2.6 trillion.  The advantage given to the megabanks who accepted this surplus “aid” has made it difficult for community banks and credit unions to operate or compete.   The assumption is false because there is literally not enough money in the world to accomplish the dual objectives of allowing the banks to keep their ill gotten gains and providing the necessary stimulus and rebuilding of our physical and educational infrastructure.  

The simple solution that is growing more and more complex is the only way that the U.S. can recover.  With the same effort that it took in 1941 to convert an isolationist largely unarmed United States to the most formidable military power on the planet, the banks who perpetrated this fraud should be treated as terrorists with nothing less than unconditional surrender as the outcome.  The remaining 7,000 community banks and credit unions together with the existing infrastructure for electronic funds transfer will easily allow the rest of the banking community to resume normal activity and provide the capital needed for a starving economy. 

See article:  www.kcmblog.com/2012/04/05/the-4-cs-of-mortgage-underwriting-2

Irrational Economics: What You Should know About Money

Gambling establishments know it, amusement parks know it, retailers know it — anything that separates your perception of spending your own money from the reality results in your spending more. And in the case of the American consumer, we are spending consistently more than we earn and more than we could ever pay back. 

 

We are all participating in a Ponzi scheme, relying on the next influx of credit from our home, credit card, auto loan or other lending scheme to pay the minimum payment on past debts. Meanwhile when we use chips at the gambling casino, we are not spending “money” so we spend more of it. When we use credit cards, we are not spending “money” so we spend more of it. When we use debit cards, we are not spending money so we spend more of it.

 

The result is that we walk out of the casino either broke or possibly in financial ruin. We get the credit card bill at the end of the month and we didn’t realize how much we spent. We see “over-limit” fees, late fees, and all kinds of interest and fee items that result in a “minimum payment” that is guaranteed to keep us in debt for life. We get our bank statement at the end of the month and for the 20% of us who even look at it, we get the same surprise — we spent more than we realized using our debit card, in stores and on the internet. We borrow on our home equity credit lines and increase our monthly payments to a level that is out of reach, or in the case of most Americans, to a level that is simply more out of reach that before (what’s the difference, I can’t pay it anyway).

 

For those of you who revel in conspiracy theory, here is one that is true. The deck is stacked against everyone by a tacit agreement between government and business. They want us stupid and ignorant. The Government, the retailers, the gaming establishments, the banks, the banking networks, non-bank credit card issuers and others on the receiving side of the dollars you spend all want you to avoid paying actual cash. Because they know that if you have cash in your hand you will regard it as yours, as you will be less inclined to part with it. They know that at the end of the month, if you are spending actual currency, you will be the one with money in your pocket and not them. 

 

Millions of Americans are steadily increasing their spending on credit cards, because they have no other place to go for the money to pay for their normal monthly bills — groceries, utilities, etc. Many are taking down the full amount of their home equity lines of credit for fear that these sources of credit will be frozen — a trend that is growing in the industry. People are taking this money and socking it away in investment accounts, which I hope are in Euro’s because the dollar is going to continue taking a major hit and inflation, while it is a global problem, is headed for far worse territory than most other places on the planet. 

 

The United States is a place of negative savings (i.e., debt) from top (Federal government) to bottom (you). And nobody is going to help you or your children or grandchildren because all the players have a vested interest in lying to you, misleading you and encouraging you to look at your finances as something other than your future wealth and security. If you are looking for help, look only to yourself and your family members. Get yourselves together and decide on how you are going to navigate the this mess. 

 

Here are some tips that will help:

 

  1. If you must use credit cards to “make the month” then you are headed for a disaster. So plan for the disaster instead of burying your head in the sand. Get one card that you bring the balance down to zero and use it sparingly, making payments exactly on time and allowing the revolving credit option to be used. So you don’t want to pay the card in full each month, you want to pay it in two or three months. Get a new telephone line and give out the number to your friends. Put the old line on voice mail and unplug it, because the creditors are going to be calling. If you don’t hear the call, it will be less stress. Most card companies do not sue, they hound you through collection agencies. So don’t enter into payment  arrangements with them, and don’t use bankruptcy just because you piled up credit card debt. 
  2. For Debt that you already have incurred and will incur in the near future, keep this in mind. You can game the system just like they have gamed you.  Inflation normally is not a  major factor in long term debt. But it is now. If you put off paying the debt, whether it is fixed or revolving, as long as possible, it is VERY possible that inflation will outpace the interest charges. There is no guarantee on this, but at this moment it looks highly probable. So if you pay these debts in 3-5 years it might cost you a fraction of the VALUE of what you owe now. 
  3. Pay in cash for the things you are buying if at all possible. It will keep you focussed on what you are spending and if you put the known expenses in envelopes at the beginning of the month, you will still have money at the end of the month.
  4. Your mortgage or rent payment takes priority. if that means not paying a credit card, so be it. Keep your house. It is the one non-dollar denominated asset you have. It is your inflation hedge.
  5. If you can’t pay the minimum on the credit card, don’t pay it at all. It doesn’t make any difference.
  6. Credit card payments should be the last thing on your list to pay after food, housing, medical etc. 
  7. If you think you are headed for bankruptcy try to hold out until the next congress gets to work. It is highly probable that the Republican changes will be reversed and that the old rules will return along with higher exemptions. 
  8. If you can’t get to an ATM to withdraw the cash and spend cash, then  use the debit card and your PIN, knowing that this is coming out of your bank account. But remember that each time you use that plastic card, you are one step removed from the financial decision as to whether to spend. The one who ends up holding the bag is you.
  9. Take advantage of credit card balance transfers with zero interest wherever you can. Play the game. 
  10.  If you owe taxes, make some minimum payment that you choose arbitrarily. Don’t enter into an agreement or make contact with the IRS unless they contact you.
  11.  If you are falling behind in your mortgage or under stress, don’t wait until the breaking point. Call your mortgage company NOW and tell them you need an accommodation. Get a moratorium on part or all of the payments. Even skipping one payment might make all the difference in the world.
  12.  Do NOT overdraft your account and do NOT go for a payday loan. There is NO benefit for you to do either. Both put you in the hole deeper. Work out something with your utility, borrow from a relative (AND PAY IT BACK!), but don’t go for these short-term options. All they do is take more money out of your pocket. 
  13.  If your credit score is very high, but YOU know you are headed for disaster, then get as many cards as you can and use them judiciously, keeping in mind the above. If you are screwed anyway, the amount does not make any difference. 
  14.  GAME THE SYSTEM: Think of your own ways to “Create” money or money supply in your life. Have Plan B for when you lose that job — what business could you get into on your own that takes very little money to start and which will give you SOME income. Look around and see what people need. You’d be surprised at what people are willing to pay for if it involves making their life easier, or making something convenient — like shopping for seniors etc.
  15.  Eat Healthy and exercise: It will reduce your stress level and bring more oxygen and nutrients to your brain. You are going to need your brain for everything it is worth to game the system and escape from the trap that was paid for you and the rest of us. 

 

These tips are contrary to what you will hear from Suze Orman and other people. They are controversial. While I believe this is the best advice, I could be wrong. Use your own brain and when you consult with others remember the 80-20 rule. 80% of the people you ask, don’t know much and will give you stock answers. Those are the people that will end up broke when this is all over. But by all means seek out the smartest people you know and talk about these things. 

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